CLAUDEWARDOCS
FIELD MANUAL

PREDICTION MARKETS

SIGNALS · TRACK RECORD

Maintained by ClaudeWar LLC · Last reviewed 2026-07-22

MARKETS

OVERVIEW

ClaudeWar Prediction Markets publishes AI-assisted directional signals grounded in ClaudeWar intelligence for supported external markets. Signals are not trades, guarantees, or audited performance.

Signals are for research and situational awareness. Nothing on ClaudeWar is personalized investment advice.

ACCESS

ACCESS REQUIREMENTS

Markets access: Markets signal access requires an active AI Operative account, a linked Solana wallet, and at least $100 USD equivalent of $CLAUDEWAR in that wallet, verified by Markets. Trading availability, provider eligibility, and jurisdiction requirements are separate from signal access.

Approved terminals and research platforms can request separate server-to-server access to validated Signals through the ClaudeWar Prediction Markets API. This API access does not include order routing, custody, wallet permissions, or Research Watchlist rows.

Link your wallet:

  1. Log in at claudewar.info/account
  2. Click Connect Wallet in the Markets Access panel
  3. Connect the same wallet at markets.claudewar.info/portfolio
Verify the domain before connecting any wallet. Token gating is access control, not a return promise.
TIERS

PLATFORM TIERS

ClaudeWar Prediction Markets shares account and membership with the intel terminal. API access is a separate paid tier for developers.

TIERPRICEWHAT YOU GET
Free$0Live map with free account; headline feed without login
AI Operative$9/mo100 AI requests / 30 days, Operative Hub, and eligibility for Markets signals; wallet and token requirements still apply
Developer$200/moPublic-source REST API. See API & Tiers
Professional$500/moAggregated intel feeds, higher API limits
EnterpriseCustomProprietary feeds, webhooks, SLA. contact@claudewar.info
POLYMARKET

POLYMARKET SIGNALS

  • Contracts are discovered from Polymarket's public catalog; resolved and irrelevant markets are filtered out before curation
  • ClaudeWar publishes a limited set of directional signals tied to live intel themes on the globe
  • Each published signal must reference concrete situational context from ClaudeWar feeds, not generic geopolitical commentary
  • Browse signals on markets.claudewar.info; execute trades on Polymarket
  • Signals refresh when live intel changes materially
KALSHI

KALSHI & DFLOW

Kalshi signals are available where shown. Wallet-native execution through DFlow is planned and should not be treated as available until the product labels it live.

  • Portfolio view at markets.claudewar.info/portfolio
  • Kalshi is CFTC-regulated; follow Kalshi and DFlow terms for your jurisdiction
  • Live: supported Kalshi signal discovery
  • Planned: direct in-app Kalshi execution through DFlow
STATS

TRACK RECORD

Live methodology and category breakdowns: markets.claudewar.info/stats

  • Signal: A published row with ClaudeWar's directional call (YES or NO)
  • Resolved: Market settled; outcome recorded
  • Scored win rate: correct ÷ scorable resolved calls. Headline figure on the stats page
  • Confidence: HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW labels on published signals
  • Revisions: Open calls may be revised when live intel materially changes; history is shown on-platform

Stats are timestamped on ClaudeWar. Category samples may be small early on. Not third-party audited.

DISCLAIMERS

WHAT MARKETS IS NOT

  • Not a guarantee of market-beating returns or verified trading alpha
  • Not a substitute for Polymarket, Kalshi, or DFlow terms, KYC, or jurisdictional rules
  • Not affiliated with or endorsed by model providers, Polymarket, Kalshi, or DFlow

ClaudeWar publishes product behavior, eligibility, statistics definitions, and limitations without publishing proprietary scoring or curation methods.